Floyd Central
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank #32
Brown County Semi-State Rank #4
Crawford County Regional Rank #1
Crawford County Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 24th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.4%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Madison Invitational Tiger Run Columbus North Classic BC Eagle Classic Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational Ted Fox Invitational Hoosier Hills Conf. Crawford County Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/18 8/25 9/1 9/8 9/15 9/22 9/29 10/6 10/13 10/20 10/27
Team Rating 439 646 531 441 453 469 522 438 512 418 457 449
Team Adjusted Rating 440 399 393 453 392 446 438 512 418 457 449
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Madison Invitational Tiger Run Columbus North Classic BC Eagle Classic Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational Ted Fox Invitational Hoosier Hills Conf. Crawford County Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
165  Luke Heinemann 11 16:53 16:51 17:06 16:52 17:11 17:03 17:12 16:48 17:04 16:46
199  David Heinemann 11 16:59 17:41 17:45 17:04 16:55 16:46 17:15
200  Hunter Griffin 10 16:59 16:56 16:53 17:31 16:58 17:17 16:52
348  Weston Naville 9 17:19 17:20 17:29 17:32 17:11 17:10 17:13 17:09 17:23 17:19 17:23 17:28
373  Ross Ellis 12 17:23 18:13 17:10 17:02 17:54 17:49 17:25 17:40 17:19 17:13 17:13 17:15
382  Wesley Jenkins 11 17:25 17:24
387  Mason Stocke 12 17:26 17:41 17:11 17:09 17:21 17:33 17:18 17:03 17:57 17:31 17:36
468  Justin McWilliams 10 17:35 18:00 17:01 17:06 17:10 16:57 17:29 17:47 18:07 18:15 17:47
559  Mitchel Meier 9 17:43 17:22 17:54 17:51 17:52 17:22 17:43 17:22 18:47
863  Nicholas Gordan 10 18:09 17:58 18:17 18:07 18:29 17:59 18:08
878  Eli Johnson 11 18:11 17:48 17:49 17:34 18:38 18:27 18:25
920  Seth Owings 10 18:14 18:19 18:28 19:53 18:36 18:56 18:18 18:21 18:06
963  Connor Reichel 12 18:17 18:47 17:51 17:51 18:52
1,133  Adam Heitz 9 18:29 18:18 18:24 18:23 18:33 18:37 18:35
Garrett Gravitt 10 19:04 19:13 19:04 19:15 18:47
Elliot Lonnemann 11 19:32 19:31 19:07 19:06 21:04 19:38




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 21.7 510 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.6 2.1 2.9 5.4 7.5 12.5 18.0 22.7 24.0
Semi-State 100% 4.6 175 0.1 1.2 7.3 44.7 33.3 8.6 3.2 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.1 59 93.0 6.7 0.3
Sectionals 100% 1.0 31 99.5 0.5



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Heinemann 100% 119.3 5.7%
David Heinemann 100% 129.8 2.0%
Hunter Griffin 100% 130.4 2.0%
Weston Naville 100% 164.9 0.0%
Ross Ellis 100% 171.2 0.0%
Mason Stocke 100% 175.4 0.0%
Justin McWilliams 100% 185.6 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Heinemann 100% 32.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.3 2.1 2.1 2.3 2.7 3.1 100.0%
David Heinemann 100% 38.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.8 1.5 1.2 100.0%
Hunter Griffin 100% 38.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.0 1.4 1.2 100.0%
Weston Naville 100% 59.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9%
Ross Ellis 100% 64.0 0.0 99.9%
Mason Stocke 100% 67.6 99.6%
Justin McWilliams 100% 79.2 97.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Heinemann 100% 8.3 0.1 3.2 6.1 9.1 12.1 14.0 15.6 15.6 11.7 6.4 3.8 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
David Heinemann 100% 10.0 0.0 0.9 2.0 4.0 6.4 9.5 12.4 15.2 16.2 15.6 9.5 4.9 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Hunter Griffin 100% 10.0 0.0 0.9 1.8 3.8 6.3 9.4 12.0 15.6 16.9 14.5 9.3 4.8 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Weston Naville 100% 15.1 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.1 5.1 11.5 13.6 14.3 13.6 11.9 8.4 6.3 4.5 2.9 1.5 1.2 0.5 0.5 100.0%
Ross Ellis 100% 16.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.4 5.6 8.6 11.5 12.3 12.8 12.4 9.7 7.4 5.3 3.4 2.5 1.8 1.2 100.0%
Mason Stocke 100% 17.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.2 3.2 5.7 8.5 12.5 12.3 11.6 12.1 9.4 7.7 4.9 3.5 2.3 1.5 100.0%
Justin McWilliams 100% 20.8 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.9 3.0 5.1 7.1 10.0 12.3 11.3 11.0 8.6 7.2 6.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Heinemann 3.2 21.1 23.2 24.4 17.0 9.8 3.3 0.9 0.3 0.0
David Heinemann 4.4 6.4 13.7 20.1 24.3 21.0 9.7 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Hunter Griffin 4.4 6.1 14.3 20.4 23.2 21.4 10.1 3.6 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0
Weston Naville 8.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.5 5.4 16.1 22.8 19.7 14.5 9.4 5.3 2.6 1.6 0.5 0.3 0.1
Ross Ellis 9.4 0.0 0.2 0.5 2.3 8.1 13.6 18.5 18.3 15.5 10.3 6.3 3.4 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
Mason Stocke 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 5.0 9.8 14.5 17.5 17.5 13.4 10.0 5.0 2.8 1.9 0.6 0.4 0.2
Justin McWilliams 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.5 3.2 7.0 11.5 18.5 18.3 15.1 11.2 6.3 3.6 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0